There are 60 seconds in a minute, 60 minutes in an hour, and did you ever wonder what 60 hours corresponded to?
It corresponds to the number of hours that the moon spends in each sign of the zodiac.
One might then wonder what 60 of those lunar units corresponds to.
It is 150 days or five months.
What might 60 of those units correspond to? 9000 days which is 24.6 years – or 30 years if you approximate the five months as a half year.
This interval calls to mind the 30 year commodities cycle that some people believe in.
Twice this interval calls to mind the 60 year Kondratiev wave of Austrian economics systems and the 60 year interval within Chinese historical analysis of cycles of climate, technology, economics, and war. Unsurprisingly, 60 years corresponds to an ellipticity cycle of the sun, drumming out the slow, ancient beat of the human economy.
It is very easy to get ahead of the game when it comes to making predictions about economic things because you never know if the trigger will be paranoia, overconfidence, a volcano, or a disease. In fact, people were calling for disaster as early as 2017.
They didn’t know exactly what or when the disaster would take place, they were just sure that a disaster was coming. In many ways, they weren’t wrong, they were just off by a few years, but when it comes to money, being off by a few years can empty your coffers.
All I can see from the 60 year cycle is that if 2000 was the peak/trough of the wave, the next peak/trough should be due in 2060, right around the time that mercury huffing Newton predicted a disaster of Biblical proportions.
If all goes well, then by that time, I’ll have a lovely non-urban place for my children and grandchildren all set up in a sensible location. I’d like to own a farm and a greenhouse. A castle and a quadcopter would be nice, but beggars can be choosers. To get to that point, I have to become a world famous author and make some money. If I am successful, as I approach my 90th year, the economy will have recovered from whatever the disaster was and I can die in peace, knowing that the next 30 years will be economically kind to my grandkids.
I would have taught them to pay attention to the 8.8 year lunar apse cycle which, if you had bought and sold in synch with it over the past century, you would’ve gotten richer than if you hadn’t. Nevertheless, as the century progressed and more people anticipated this cycle, its manifestation in the markets became more distorted and harder to profit from.
Sometimes large disruptions cause people to forget these sorts of cycles and that makes them easier to exploit again. It remains to be seen if the internet will disrupt this forgetting mechanism.
I am not in any way an economist, but that hasn’t stopped me from thinking about how the world works.
If you would like to hear this post read aloud, check out this video:
Kirsten Hacker 
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